WORLD MONUMENT

Caterpillar reported strong revenue and earning growth for Q2//2021. As the infrastructure bill already passed in Senate and is gaining bipartisan support in the House, Caterpillar is well positioned to capitalize on this huge oppportunity.
https://valueinvesting.io/CAT/valuation/dcf-growth-exit-5y

United States Crude Oil Inventories September 22 2021

What does the data mean to the market?

The data indicates the number of crude oil barrels held by commercial firms in the US; this inventory is taken weekly and indicates increases or decreases needed in supply, affecting the price. A Positive number is bad for the oil price and vice versa.

Other oil data is released the night before this report, API Weekly Crude Oil Stock, which the market looks for as an indicator of today's report, which can gauge how it will respond, so it's worth keeping an eye on that also.

There are two mainline of data to focus on. DOE Gasoline Inventories and DOE Crude Oil Inventories, the two lines must not conflict to make this data tradable; Oil is the driving force behind this report.


Historic deviations and their outcome

September 1 2021 Today we saw a sizeable deviation from oil but with a conflict from gasoline, still, we saw a healthy 40 pip spike before it returned to pre news level. Not trade for me.

Check out the price action here:
https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/62687/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jaGFydDtpPTYyNjg3O3Q9MjAyMS05LTElMjAxNDozMDowMC4wO3M9VVNET0lMO3I9UzE

August 25 2021 Very minimal negative deviation with support from Gasoline wasn't a trade for me, it was good to see a 45 pip reaction in favour of the Crude oil inventories; however, the deviation wasn't sizeable for me to take a trade.


Check out the price action here:
https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/62215/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jaGFydDtpPTYyMjE1O3Q9MjAyMS04LTI1JTIwMTQ6MzA6MDAuMDtzPVVTRE9JTDtyPVMx

August 18 2021 Sizeable deviation from Crude Oil, unfortunately, Gasoline conflicted, and therefore it wasn't a trade for me.


Check out the price action here:
https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/61866/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jaGFydDtpPTYxODY2O3Q9MjAyMS04LTE4JTIwMTQ6MzA6MDAuMDtzPVVTRE9JTDtyPVMx




I will use forecasts of:

DOE Crude Oil Inventories -4500
DOE Gasoline Inventories -1000



Today's trade plan

If I get a deviation of -/+ 3500 in either direction from the forecast on Oil and a supporting deviation in the same direction from Gasoline of +/- 1500, we can expect a sustained move from Crude Oil or Brent.

Please note I have used the following hybrid forecasts

1) DOE Crude Forecast = -2450 (BB)
2) API Actual Crude = -6100
3) DOE Gasoline Forecast = -1472 (BB)
4) API Actual Gasoline = -0400


Tradable pairs

USDBNT
USDOIL


Hope this helps but please do your own analysis!!

Good luck!!

James Thatcher

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

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Are you bullish about Facebook? I think Facebook still has rooms to grow but after so many attempts to diversify its business, currently most of its revenue still comes from ads. I don't think the latest collaboration with Ray-Ban sunglasses is gonna change anything.
https://valueinvesting.io/FB/valuation/dcf-growth-exit-5y

The Week Ahead 20th September 2021

In the week ahead I'll be looking closely at the following releases

22nd Sept 2021 15:30 US Crude Oil Inventories

See the report history here: - https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jYWxlbmRhcjtuYmM9VVM7bm49Q3J1ZGUlMjBPaWwlMjBJbnZlbnRvcmllcw

23rd Sept 2021 12:00 Turkish Interest Rate

See the report history here: -https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jYWxlbmRhcjtuYmM9VFI7bm49T3Zlcm5pZ2h0JTIwTGVuZGluZyUyMFJhdGU

23rd Sept 2021 14:00 South African Interest Rate

See the report history here: - https://calendarapi.galaxysoftwareinc.com/l/aHR0cHM6Ly9jYWxlbmRhci5nYWxheHlzb2Z0d2FyZWluYy5jb20vIy9jYWxlbmRhcjtuYmM9WkE7bm49SW50ZXJlc3QlMjBSYXRlJTIwRGVjaXNpb24

Mining companies face difficulties while extracting boron as it is an expensive process and not also the element is not always available. The boron ore is mined from the ground which then leads to a purification process where boron is separated from other unwanted materials.
Also due to limited availability of boron the supply of boron is also limited which does not fulfil the demand.

The share price of American Pacific Borates has had a rocky year thus far. American Pacific Borates stock has returned 10.66 percent so far this year.

Despite this, it has increased by 107.5 percent in the last year. In addition, the miner's stock has gained 13% in the last month.

Over the last year, the battery mineral industry has been significant facing issues related to cleaner energy production, sustainable development and government support. The demand for battery minerals especially lithium has been increasing but the supply is not at par with the demand which will arise new challenges for such industries. Modernized transport systems are very well known for their battery engineering but such a shortage of supply might hamper the growth of new means of technology.

Boron deficiency is a common problem in plants. Boron deficiencies can lead to decreased growth, lower yields, and increased vulnerability to pests and disease. The most common symptoms of boron deficiency are weak stems with soft spongy pith, leaf tip burn, a white or red-brown discoloration at the tips; abnormal branching; short internodes; narrow leaves that may be twisted or curled; stunted flowers; fruit cracks splits and shrivels before maturity.

Another series of assay results from the Parbec project was reported this week by #Renforth Resources Inc. (CA:#RFR – $0.07 & US:#RFHRF – $0.05 & GER:9RR – €0.04). This news covered four drill holes completed earlier this year as part of the second phase of drilling work. The gold values reported for the program continue to demonstrate very encouraging mineralized intervals. Each successful drilling hole contributes towards the expansion of defined gold resources at Parbec.

Smallcaps.us Advice: Buy Price Target: $0.19

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS REPORT TODAY – 17 SEPTEMBER 2021
Asia Pacific stocks were mixed on Friday morning. The Shanghai composite is down 0.40% at 3,592.82. Overall, the Singapore MSCI up 0.08% at 354.50. Over in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index up 0.59% at 24,790. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 up 0.36% at 30,310, while the Topix index is up 0.02% at 2080.5. South Korea’s Kospi up 0.14% to 3134.71. Australia S&P/ASX 200 down 0.78% at 7403.0.

European equities Thursday closing. The DAX futures contract in Germany traded up 0.23% at 15651.75, CAC 40 futures up 0.59% at 6622.60 and the UK 100 futures contract in the U.K. up 0.16% at 7,027.49.

In U.S. on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.18% at 34751.33. The S&P 500 down 0.15% at 4473.76 and the Nasdaq 100 up 0.12% at 15535.6, NYSE closes at 16576.77 down 0.30%.

In the Forex market, GBPUSD up 0.12% at 1.38057. The USDJPY up 0.17% at 109.899. The USDCHF down 0.07% at 0.9268. EURUSD up 0.02% at 1.17683, EUR/GBP down 0.03% at 0.85236. The USD/CNY down 0.13% at 6.4494 at the time of writing.

In the commodity market U.S. Gold futures up 0.50% at $1,762.45. Elsewhere, Silver futures up 0.24% to $22.94 per ounce, Platinum up 1.39% at $943.37 per ounce, and Palladium down 1.38% at $2004.50.

Crude Oil mix on Friday; Brent crude oil down 0.16% at $75.49 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (CLc1) is flat at $70.87.

In the Cryptocurrency Markets, BTCUSD at 48083.79 up 0.68%, Ethereum down 0.21% at 3563.63, Litecoin at 186.54 up 0.53%, at the time of writing.

TOP STOCKS TO WATCH OUT FOR TODAY:

#Chipping has begun at Victoria West on our #Surimeau #BatteryMetals property in #Quebec for #stripping to enlarge and extend this #nickel, #copper and #zinc outcrop over and between #drillholes $RFR $RFHRF $RFR.CN

https://renforthresources.com/portfolio_page/surimeau-large-polymetallic-system/

As the demand for clean sources of power, like solar and wind increases in today's society, so too does boron's importance. The U.S Department of Energy has estimated that new nuclear plants will be necessary by 2030 if we want our energy needs met without resorting back towards fossil fuels which are known to cause pollution as well damage our environment (and health). However, these advances could potentially be replaced with more sustainable options such as using an alternative fuel made from this element called "boron-based”.

Borax is not easily degraded by the environment due to its stability. Especially when released during or after mining operations. Through proper handling practices such as storage in sealed steel drums or containers with high-density cork liners, it provides further protection to both humans and animals.

Boron is not only an essential element used for decarbonization but it also helps humans, with the development of bones, teeth and other tissues. It is an essential element during pregnancy as it helps with the development of skeletal bones in babies during the early stage of pregnancy. Boron deficiency in humans can lead to various diseases like osteoporosis and malnutrition.

For producing various products boron acts as a catalyst. It is the most important component which helps in making semiconductors around which modern life revolves. Also helps with the production of crops/grains, steel, rubber, detergents, plastic, etc.
Boron is an interesting element in the solar panel which is twice as much efficient as other silicon-based panels. It absorbs the photon tightly without releasing them quickly which prevents excess panel cell heating.

I have owned IBM for years for the dividend. IBM is still doing ok but their business is no longer consumer tech, which has received the most hype lately. Do you think there will be a IBM's comeback like Microsoft's one?
https://valueinvesting.io/IBM/valuation/dcf-growth-exit-5y

Some investors might feel bad about making money on fossil fuels, but the table appears set for more gains in energy-stock prices.

Take a look at this chart showing price movement for continuous forward-month West Texas intermedia crude oil CL00, 3.09% contracts over the past year.

WTI was up 3.3% early on Sept. 15 to $72.78 a barrel — quite a bump for only one trading session.

https://motherlodetv.net/index.php/gold/

Renforth Resources: Gold plus Battery Metals in Quebec
On August 24 Renforth (RFR.C) put out a news release detailing “positive assay results from the 2021 portion of the >15,000m drilled into the wholly owned Parbec surface gold deposit in Malartic, Quebec, contiguous to the Canadian Malartic Mine.”

#RFR #RFHRF #RENFORTH RESOURCES
TECHNICAL RATING is BUY

20 Day Moving Average BUY
20 - 200 Day MACD Oscillator BUY
50 Day Moving Average BUY
50 - 200 Day MACD Oscillator BUY
150 Day Moving Average BUY
200 Day Moving Average BUY
100 - 200 Day MACD Oscillator BUY

100 - Day Average Volume: 247,191

Biden Orders Shots for Millions, Calling Unvaccinated a Threat

President Joe Biden said he’d order all executive branch employees, federal contractors and millions of health-care workers to be vaccinated against the coronavirus, and that his administration would issue rules requiring large private employers to mandate shots or testing.

The new measures are Biden’s response to a resurgent Covid-19 pandemic driven by the delta variant of the virus and by tens of millions of Americans who have refused to be vaccinated. Federal employees who don’t comply could be dismissed, the administration said, and private employers might be fined.

Biden also delivered some of his harshest criticism yet of the 25% of U.S. adults who’ve so far not been inoculated, saying that they’re dragging out the pandemic that has claimed more than 650,000 lives in the U.S.

“My message to unvaccinated Americans is this: What more is there to wait for? What more do you need to see?” he said. “We’ve been patient, but our patience is wearing thin. And your refusal has cost all of us, so please, do the right thing.”

His latest plan, the president said, would “combat those blocking public health” and also “protects our economy and will make our kids safer in schools.”

The directives mark a significant hardening of the administration’s position on vaccine mandates amid the surge by the delta variant that threatens to overwhelm hospitals in parts of the U.S.

“My message to unvaccinated Americans is this: What more is there to wait for? What more do you need to see?” he said. “We’ve been patient, but our patience is wearing thin. And your refusal has cost all of us, so please, do the right thing.”

His latest plan, the president said, would “combat those blocking public health” and also “protects our economy and will make our kids safer in schools.”

The directives mark a significant hardening of the administration’s position on vaccine mandates amid the surge by the delta variant that threatens to overwhelm hospitals in parts of the U.S.

The federal workforce mandate faced a muted initial reaction, with business and labor groups issuing cautious responses and saying they’d work with the administration.

Under Biden’s new approach, the Department of Labor’s Occupational Safety and Health Administration will develop an emergency regulation requiring companies with 100 or more employees to require staff to be vaccinated or tested weekly, and to give paid time off to get inoculated.

Employers could face fines of nearly $14,000 per violation, one official said. It is expected to take effect in the coming weeks, the official said.

“This is not about freedom or personal choice,” Biden said in a speech from the White House -- a swipe at Republican elected officials, including some governors, who have said the opposite.

“It’s about protecting yourself and those around you. The people you work with. The people you care about, the people you love. My job as president is to protect all Americans,” Biden said.

Biden will also require vaccinations for more than 17 million health-care workers at Medicare and Medicaid participating hospitals and in other health-care settings, a significant expansion of an existing requirement aimed at nursing homes.

The federal government will require vaccinations for staff at Head Start and Early Head Start programs, teachers and staff at Department of Defense schools, and teachers and staff at schools operated by the Bureau of Indian Education.

Biden will call on states to require vaccines in all schools -- a call sure to go unheeded in deeply Republican parts of the country -- and on large entertainment venues to require patrons to prove vaccination or a negative test. He said he’d boost weekly shipments of monoclonal antibodies to states by 50% this month.

He also said he would loosen regulations around the Covid Economic Injury Disaster Loan program, to spur the economic recovery by making it easier for small businesses to borrow. He also said he’d streamline applications for Paycheck Protection Program loans to be forgiven.

The executive branch is on strong footing to require staff vaccinations, particularly since the Pfizer Inc.-BioNTech vaccine received full approval, rather than just emergency authorization, according to Glenn Cohen, a law professor at Harvard Law School. The OSHA rule is likely to face the most legal challenges, with likely litigation over whether the agency is exceeding its authority.
Rapid Tests

The U.S. will spend nearly $2 billion to buy 280 million rapid tests as part of an effort to expand testing, and use the wartime Defense Production Act to expand manufacturing of tests. The administration will also send 25 million tests to community health centers and food banks.

Biden said that Walmart Inc., Amazon.com Inc. and Kroger. Co. supermarkets will sell at-home, rapid Covid-19 tests at cost for the next three months.

In addition, the president is proceeding with a plan to start booster shots as soon as Sept. 20, subject to approval from health officials. Officials expect to begin giving Pfizer-BioNTech boosters at first.

The administration also said it would double fines for people who refuse to wear a mask during interstate travel, including on airplanes.

Biden’s order for federal workers goes further than requirements he announced on July 29, which included an option for on-site federal contractors to choose testing instead of vaccination. Now, Biden is mandating vaccines for contractors.

One of his executive orders, issued Thursday for contractors, calls for the new requirement to be in place for contracts entered into on or after Oct. 15. It will apply to any workplace locations “in which an individual is working on or in connection with a Federal Government contract or contract-like instrument.”
‘Limited Exceptions’

There will be “limited exceptions” to Biden’s new federal worker mandate, including for religious objections or for those with disabilities, White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said Thursday. Employees who refuse will “face progressive disciplinary action” that could include dismissal, she said.

Psaki said it would take effect when Biden signs it, with a “ramp up” period of about 75 days. The executive order for federal workers, also issued Thursday, called for guidance to be released within 7 days.

Read More: Maskless Airline Passengers Face Doubled Fines in Biden Plan

Everett Kelley, president of the American Federation of Government Employees, the largest union for federal workers, voiced support for vaccines but also indicated that the new order should be negotiated with the labor groups.

“Workers deserve a voice in their working conditions,” Kelley said in a statement.

The Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association, a voluntary group, called the move misguided. “Vaccination should be promoted through education and encouragement -- not coercion,” President Larry Cosme said in a statement.

The U.S. Chamber of Commerce said it would “carefully review the details” of the announcement, and will press for businesses to have the “resources, guidance, and flexibility necessary.” The Business Roundtable welcomed Biden’s “vigilance” and said it “looks forward to continue working with the administration and leaders across all levels of government to defeat the pandemic.”

The Department of Defense, the Department of Veterans Affairs, the Indian Health Service, and the National Institutes of Health are all implementing previously announced vaccination requirements that cover 2.5 million workers, according to the administration.

While the White House doesn’t have the power to require vaccinations nationally, it has pointed to an emerging patchwork of employer vaccine requirements as a key factor driving a new wave of inoculations.
Surge in Cases

The push to force large employers to act comes on the heels of a dismal August payrolls report, which showed a much lower than expected 235,000 jobs added in the month. Employers are struggling to find workers with a record number of job openings and may face attrition if they force vaccination.

Leana Wen, a public health professor at George Washington University, praised elements of the Biden plan, like the vaccine requirement for large private employers, but said more action is needed.

“That’s excellent. That protects workers,” she said. “But I wish the federal government went a lot further when it came to planes and trains and other places that it has direct authority.”

Eric Toner, a senior scholar with the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, described the Biden actions on Thursday as efforts to increase compliance with vaccination and mask-wearing.

“They’re covering the things that I think are most important, which are mandatory vaccination, to the extent that is lawful, and mandatory masking, to the extent that it’s lawful,” he said.

Biden focused on curbing the pandemic in the early months of his presidency, and by the July 4 holiday he spoke optimistically about the country declaring its “independence” from the virus after a dramatic decline in cases and deaths. But the vaccination campaign slowed, in part because of misinformation spread online and opposition among Republicans, even as restrictions were eased.

The U.S. recorded 176,000 new cases on Wednesday, far above the roughly 10,000 a day seen in June when the pandemic was at its ebb, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Another 2,143 people in the U.S. died from the virus on Wednesday.

Vaccinations ticked back up over the last month. But Biden pointed out that leaves a quarter of eligible Americans -- some 80 million people, he said -- without a shot.

“The vast majority of Americans are doing the right thing,” he said. “That 25% can cause a lot of damage, and they are.”

— With assistance by Emma Court, Katia Dmitrieva, Chris Strohm, and Nancy Cook